{"id":39048,"date":"2026-05-25T11:11:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T14:11:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2024\/?p=39048"},"modified":"2026-05-25T11:11:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T14:11:11","slug":"por-que-pierde-arnaldo-samaniego","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2024\/2026\/05\/25\/por-que-pierde-arnaldo-samaniego\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 pierde Arnaldo Samaniego?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Las encuestas comienzan a consolidar una tendencia inc\u00f3moda para Arnaldo Samaniego en la carrera interna colorada por la intendencia de Asunci\u00f3n<\/strong>. Tanto Ati Snead Consultores<\/strong> como Multitarget <\/strong>coinciden en algo central: hoy, Camilo P\u00e9rez aparece claramente mejor posicionado dentro del electorado de la ANR capitalina.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El \u00faltimo estudio de Ati Snead otorga a P\u00e9rez un 49,6% de intenci\u00f3n de voto frente al 32,6% de Samaniego. Por su parte, Multitarget, aunque con cifras distintas, tambi\u00e9n proyecta una ventaja importante para el primero: 33,94% contra 24,96%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La pregunta entonces deja de ser qui\u00e9n lidera las encuestas y pasa a ser otra: \u00bfpor qu\u00e9 pierde Arnaldo Samaniego?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En sectores disidentes se intenta instalar la idea de que la diferencia responde exclusivamente al \u201caparato\u201d<\/em>. Sin embargo, el argumento parece d\u00e9bil. Si existe una estructura pol\u00edtica hist\u00f3ricamente consolidada dentro de Asunci\u00f3n, es precisamente la de los Samaniego. Hablar de falta de maquinaria electoral en ese espacio pol\u00edtico resulta, cuanto menos, poco convincente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La explicaci\u00f3n probablemente sea m\u00e1s profunda y tenga relaci\u00f3n con algo que transform\u00f3 definitivamente la pol\u00edtica moderna: la memoria digital.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En la era de las redes sociales ya no existen archivos muertos. Los antecedentes, contradicciones, v\u00ednculos y cuestionamientos reaparecen permanentemente. Y cuando una candidatura intenta presentarse como renovaci\u00f3n, inevitablemente queda expuesta a qui\u00e9nes la rodean.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

All\u00ed aparece uno de los principales problemas de la campa\u00f1a de Samaniego: varios de los rostros que lo acompa\u00f1an dif\u00edcilmente representan una renovaci\u00f3n real para el electorado joven colorado.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uno de los casos m\u00e1s mencionados es el de El\u00edas Fleitas, expresidente de CEDUNA y funcionario vinculado pol\u00edticamente a Samaniego. <\/strong>Fleitas arrastra desde hace a\u00f1os fuertes cuestionamientos provenientes de distintos sectores universitarios, incluyendo acusaciones informales sobre pr\u00e1cticas clientelares dentro de estructuras estudiantiles y supuestos manejos irregulares en elecciones universitarias<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Aunque muchas de esas cr\u00edticas no derivaron en causas formales, el problema pol\u00edtico no necesariamente pasa por lo judicial, sino por la percepci\u00f3n p\u00fablica.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En entornos juveniles opositores e incluso dentro de sectores independientes de la propia ANR, Fleitas suele ser presentado como s\u00edmbolo de una \u201ccasta universitaria reciclada\u201d<\/em><\/strong>, asociada a pr\u00e1cticas prebendarias y estructuras tradicionales de poder dentro de la universidad p\u00fablica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y ese punto resulta particularmente sensible en una elecci\u00f3n donde el desgaste de la vieja pol\u00edtica aparece como uno de los factores m\u00e1s determinantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La dificultad para Samaniego no parece estar \u00fanicamente en la capacidad operativa de su rival, sino en la imposibilidad de instalar una narrativa de cambio cre\u00edble <\/strong>mientras parte de su equipo representa exactamente aquello que muchos votantes j\u00f3venes rechazan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Camilo P\u00e9rez, en cambio, logr\u00f3 posicionarse como una figura menos cargada de pasado pol\u00edtico y menos asociada a estructuras tradicionales altamente desgastadas <\/strong>dentro de Asunci\u00f3n. En un contexto donde la imagen, la percepci\u00f3n y el rechazo pesan tanto como la estructura territorial, eso termina siendo una ventaja enorme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La pol\u00edtica paraguaya cambi\u00f3. Hoy ya no alcanza solamente con operadores, seccionales y movilizaci\u00f3n. Las nuevas generaciones consumen pol\u00edtica desde TikTok, Instagram y X, donde los archivos reaparecen constantemente<\/strong> y donde la reputaci\u00f3n p\u00fablica puede deteriorarse mucho m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido que antes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quiz\u00e1s all\u00ed est\u00e9 la verdadera explicaci\u00f3n de por qu\u00e9 Arnaldo Samaniego pierde terreno: no porque le falte aparato, sino porque parte importante del electorado comienza a asociar su proyecto con una continuidad de pr\u00e1cticas pol\u00edticas<\/strong> que muchos ya no quieren volver a votar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Las encuestas comienzan a consolidar una tendencia inc\u00f3moda para Arnaldo Samaniego en la carrera interna colorada por la intendencia de Asunci\u00f3n. Tanto Ati Snead Consultores como Multitarget coinciden en algo central: hoy, Camilo P\u00e9rez aparece claramente mejor posicionado dentro del electorado de la ANR capitalina. El \u00faltimo estudio de Ati Snead otorga a P\u00e9rez un […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":38500,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":[],"jnews_food_recipe":[],"enable_food_recipe":"","food_recipe_title":"","food_recipe_description":"","food_recipe_serve":"","food_recipe_time":"","food_recipe_prep":"","food_recipe_level":"","food_recipe_keywords":"","food_recipe_category":"","food_recipe_cuisine":"","food_recipe_yield":"","food_recipe_calories":"","enable_print_recipe":"","ingredient":[],"instruction":"","jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_paywall_metabox":[],"jnews_review":[],"enable_review":"","type":"","name":"","summary":"","brand":"","sku":"","good":[],"bad":[],"score_override":"","override_value":"","rating":[],"price":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"jnews_podcast_option":[],"jnews_podcast_series":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[617,425,831,2466,802,2460,2359],"jnews-series":[],"ppma_author":[830],"class_list":["post-39048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-municipales","tag-arnaldo-samaniego","tag-asuncion","tag-destacada","tag-intendencia-de-asuncion","tag-municipalidad-de-asuncion","tag-noticias-de-asuncion","tag-noticias-de-paraguay"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 pierde Arnaldo Samaniego? - Informate Py Creemos en la libertad de expresi\u00f3n y en la capacidad de la gente de reflexionar\u00a0por\u00a0si\u00a0misma<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2024\/2026\/05\/25\/por-que-pierde-arnaldo-samaniego\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 pierde Arnaldo Samaniego? - Informate Py Creemos en la libertad de expresi\u00f3n y en la capacidad de la gente de reflexionar\u00a0por\u00a0si\u00a0misma\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Las encuestas comienzan a consolidar una tendencia inc\u00f3moda para Arnaldo Samaniego en la carrera interna colorada por la intendencia de Asunci\u00f3n. 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