{"id":10586,"date":"2022-03-13T08:46:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-13T11:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2021\/?p=10586"},"modified":"2022-03-12T17:47:17","modified_gmt":"2022-03-12T20:47:17","slug":"bolivia-entre-la-crisis-energetica-y-los-bonos-basura-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2021\/2022\/03\/13\/bolivia-entre-la-crisis-energetica-y-los-bonos-basura-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Bolivia: entre la crisis energ\u00e9tica y los bonos basura"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Luis Arce Catacora<\/strong> es, sin la menor duda, un p\u00e9simo economista. Pues durante su gesti\u00f3n como ministro de econom\u00eda se realiz\u00f3 el mayor nivel de despilfarro en la historia de Bolivia. Incluso, cuando el 2016 habl\u00f3 de la necesidad de ajustarse los cinturones, el ahora presidente increment\u00f3 el presupuesto cada a\u00f1o de manera acelerada, us\u00f3 indiscriminadamente las reservas internacionales del BCB, forz\u00f3 la bolivianizaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda y el sistema bancario y financiero con cr\u00e9dito artificialmente barato, y acrecent\u00f3 la deuda p\u00fablica externa y el d\u00e9ficit fiscal a ritmos r\u00e9cord.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El desastre es tan grande que en el \u00faltimo reporte del Banco Central de Bolivia las Reservas en divisas s\u00f3lo alcanzan a $1.223 millones. Asimismo, el hecho de que los bonos bolivianos tengan una calificaci\u00f3n de B los coloca en la categor\u00eda de Bonos Basura. Por ende, la tasa de emisi\u00f3n es alta. En t\u00e9rminos simples: no somos confiables, y tenemos que pagar mucho inter\u00e9s para que nos presten d\u00f3lares.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahora mismo, el presidente boliviano se debate entre realizar reformas estructurales de fondo \u2015entre ellas, reducir el gasto p\u00fablico, cerrar las empresas deficitarias y despedir a miles de bur\u00f3cratas\u2015, o continuar inflando su ya desgastado modelo para, de esa forma, mantener contento a Evo<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por eso, no deber\u00eda extra\u00f1arnos que, mientras Evo Morales <\/strong>apoya a Vladimir Putin<\/strong>, el gobierno nacional haya asumido la pat\u00e9tica postura de la abstenci\u00f3n en la Asamblea General de las Naciones Unidas (ONU). La estrategia buscaba quedar bien con el jefazo y, al mismo tiempo, con las organizaciones internacionales \u2015a las cuales Arce Catacora <\/strong>tendr\u00e1 que recurrir en busca de un salvavidas financiero\u2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Empero, como en pol\u00edtica internacional no existe la neutralidad, lo que hizo Bolivia fue avalar al agresor. Por tanto, se incrementaron las dificultades para conseguir financiamiento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A todo lo anterior debemos agregarle otro factor agravante: la crisis energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A comienzos de a\u00f1o, antes de la guerra, la inflaci\u00f3n en EE. UU. hab\u00eda alcanzado picos hist\u00f3ricos (7%). El precio de la gasolina fue uno de los indicadores que despert\u00f3 las alarmas en la poblaci\u00f3n estadounidense. Como era de esperarse, la invasi\u00f3n sobre Ucrania, y el posterior veto al petr\u00f3leo ruso, caus\u00f3 una mayor subida del precio de los hidrocarburos (el barril de crudo gira alrededor de $130).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al respecto, \u00c1lvaro R\u00edos<\/strong>, analista en temas de energ\u00eda y exministro de hidrocarburos, expres\u00f3 lo siguiente: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cada d\u00eda que el crudo sube un d\u00f3lar es m\u00e1s negativo que positivo para el pa\u00eds. No olvidemos que estamos importando cerca del 65% del di\u00e9sel y cerca del 40% de la gasolina que demanda el pa\u00eds. Se va a producir un desbalance de lo que llamamos el abastecimiento de crudo de acuerdo con los tipos de refiner\u00edas. Esto va a traer consecuencias. Todos pens\u00e1bamos que el problema iba a ser de m\u00e1s corto plazo, pero todo indica que se est\u00e1 extendiendo.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Incluso, el presidente de Yacimientos Petrol\u00edferos Fiscales Bolivianos (YPFB), Armin Dorgathen<\/strong>, admiti\u00f3 que las importaciones de combustibles l\u00edquidos se iban a incrementar a medida que el conflicto siga vigente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Debemos recordar que el Presupuesto General del Estado para el a\u00f1o 2022, tiene como supuestos, un precio promedio de $50,47 y un monto para la subvenci\u00f3n de combustibles es de $700 millones. Por lo tanto, el actual precio del petr\u00f3leo incrementar\u00e1 los costos de importaci\u00f3n a, pr\u00e1cticamente, el doble. Adem\u00e1s, pone en jaque el subsidio a la gasolina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A modo de cierre, es innegable que el conflicto b\u00e9lico tiene efectos sobre la econ\u00f3mica boliviana. Sin embargo, el mayor causante de nuestros problemas es el Modelo Econ\u00f3mico, Social, Comunitario y Productivo que el Movimiento Al Socialismo aplic\u00f3 en el pa\u00eds desde el a\u00f1o 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a1Dueles Bolivia!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Luis Arce Catacora es, sin la menor duda, un p\u00e9simo economista. Pues durante su gesti\u00f3n como ministro de econom\u00eda se realiz\u00f3 el mayor nivel de despilfarro en la historia de Bolivia. Incluso, cuando el 2016 habl\u00f3 de la necesidad de ajustarse los cinturones, el ahora presidente increment\u00f3 el presupuesto cada a\u00f1o de manera acelerada, us\u00f3 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":8572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":false},"categories":[248],"tags":[728,1036,1545],"ppma_author":[1566],"class_list":["post-10586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analisis","tag-bolivia","tag-destacada","tag-luis-arce"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\nBolivia: entre la crisis energ\u00e9tica y los bonos basura - Informatepy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informatepy.com\/2021\/2022\/03\/13\/bolivia-entre-la-crisis-energetica-y-los-bonos-basura-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bolivia: entre la crisis energ\u00e9tica y los bonos basura - Informatepy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Luis Arce Catacora es, sin la menor duda, un p\u00e9simo economista. 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